logo

Statistically Speaking Latest Posts

Piggybacking off of my article from yesterday, I now present to you our current positional rankings, along with each player's total fPAA. We'll start off with first basemen in this post:

1B fPAA
A Pujols 11.8
J Votto 7.1
M Cabrera 6.9
K Youkilis 4.9
M Teixeira 4.5
P Fielder 3.5
A Gonzalez 3.4
R Howard 2.1
J Morneau 1.6
D Lee 1.6

Albert Pujols, in case you didn't know it, is a fantasy beast. Above average in every category except steals, he will boost your team's batting average by almost 5 points, provide almost 20% of the HRs and better than 10% of the runs and RBI you need to win your league all by himself. He boasts the highest unadjusted fPAA total in our study, though positional adjustments may change that.

The rest of this list looks like pretty standard fare, though some might take issue with Ryan Howard's low ranking. The truth is that while he will boost your teams' HRs and RBI like few other players, much of that benefit is offset by his lack of steals and inability to maintain a high batting average. If you're in a league that uses OBP instead of batting average, by all means, draft him highly. Derrek Lee has the potential to be just as valuable as Justin Morneau, but I clearly consider him a riskier pick at his age and coming off of a bad season. Changing divisions to the tough AL East won't help his comeback bid any, either.

As for sleepers, much of their value comes from playing time. But our model suggests that Kansas City's Eric Hosmer and the Diamondbacks' Brandon Allen might be good candidates, should they receive adequate chances.

More from Statistically Speaking